A Clever Accumulator Bet Strategy

As many of you may know I am not a big advocate of accumulator or exotic bets in horse racing. I believe it is hard enough to find an edge, without giving it back to the bookies by requiring multiple selections to win or place. This does not however mean that I have or will never do them again but you have to realise that the odds are significantly stacked against you.

Having said that, I do know that many punters enjoy a Trixie, Yankee or Lucky 15 on a Saturday and the appeal of that potential big win from low stakes. They can also make for some sensational headlines when they come in or a great topic for discussion down the pub when that final selection gets beaten by a neck to prevent a large windfall.

Whether the accumulator is my favoured type of bet or not is irrelevant, I like to give bring interesting thoughts and views from across many different elements and angles of horse racing, and hopefully those of you that do like an exotic bet of any description may find this interesting.

I came upon this system/strategy for betting multiple selections in late 2014 and I have to say it did raise my interest. The principle of the system is to bet six selections but it only consists of 10 actual bets, 5 doubles, 4 trebles and 1 fourfold. The beauty of it is, that whilst it is not a full perm each of the combinations above stand on their own merits.

The actual system suggests that you use the main meeting of the day (most prize money) and then bet the six selections as follows;

Doubles

Races; 1&2, 2&3, 3&4, 4&5 and 5&6

Trebles (non consecutive numbers)

Races; 1,3&5, 1,3&6, 1,4&6 and 2,4&6

Fourfold

1,2,5&6

This was all the system stated in the version I came across, but having looked into in more detail I would suggest considering the following additions also.

1/ The system should be used on your top 6 selections for the day and not just restricted to one race card

2/ As you are unlikely to hit many fourfolds you should maximise the opportunity to hit the trebles and therefore your strongest selections (best chance of winning in your opinion, not necessarily lowest odds) should be prioritised in races 1&6 first and then 3&4 second and finally 2&5

This is a very clever little system for accumulator bets especially given the total bet is only 10pts and definitely worth exploring further if this is the type of bet you like.

Why not give it a try or perhaps paper trade it and let me know what you think!!

 

Thanks Simon

 

12 Comments

  • VideoPortal

    Reply Reply 20th March 2017

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  • legalsounds

    Reply Reply 3rd November 2016

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  • John

    Reply Reply 23rd February 2015

    Hello Simon that bet of yours useing just 10 bets for the accumulater looks good but how do I write that on empty betting slip as take that I dont have to write trebles in non consecutive order as you say cheaper to do then full cover so can you give me say a copy just put down any 6 horses at say 25pence stakes and what about doing them each way hope you can help John

    • Simon Patton

      Reply Reply 24th February 2015

      Hi John,

      You just place the bets as you would any other trebles, there is no problem doing them e/w as long as the odds for all your bets give enough value.

      Thanks Simon

  • Darren

    Reply Reply 21st January 2015

    Hi Simon, interesting read.
    Like most punters I do have the odd double or treble at the weekend as a bit of fun. This certainly puts a new spin on the idea so I shall ponder this come the weekend.

    I don’t always stick to horse racing as football does offer some good doubles, although saying that the premiership is much harder to predict over the last three seasons.

    Look forward to your next post

    Cheers
    Daz

    • Simon Patton

      Reply Reply 21st January 2015

      Hi Darren,

      Thanks for the post, to be honest I don’t see any reason why you couldn’t use the same system for football bets also (or any multiple bets for that matter)

      Thanks Simon

  • Rob Reid

    Reply Reply 21st January 2015

    Sorry hit enter too early!

    What I meant to say was what I don’t get is the randomness in the meetings / races that are picked for the accumulator e.g why only the richest race card?

    And…

    Trebles (non consecutive numbers)

    Races; 1,3&5, 1,3&6, 1,4&6 and 2,4&6

    What does that have to do with the system as there is no explaination how the randomness helps.

    I am always trying new systems out but I always want to know “why” before throwing money away.

    For example at the moment I am trying accumulators out but with tiny stakes e.g £2 and picking my 3 best horses of the day and sometimes doing one double at higher stakes e.g £3/4 with my best two horses and then one triple at £2 with all 3. Sometimes I use higher stakes other times like today I didn’t.

    Today one double at £2 Bertie Blu Boy & Franco’s Secret earned me over £40.

    The Triple didn’t come in due to Stopped Out losing but that was a loss of £2 from a profit of £40.

    It may only be small stakes but then I don’t lose a lot when a treble loses. However if a triple comes in. From just £2 you could earn over a ton.

    I am also doing a system where I look for value favourites (e.g price > 3/1) with the top Official Rating, a recent run, Distance, Going and Weight experience (and course experience if it has it) and then doing say £5 win bets and then in the place market I double up the stake which hopefully has a price over 2.0 1/1 so that if the win bet loses the place winnings cover the stake and hopfully bring in a profit.

    Today when I won on Anglophile I had a win and place bet come in, the place bet almost 1.90 so I increased the stake to make the profit add up to my win stake. A better example would be Made Of Diamonds who came 3rd but the win price was 5.5 and the place price 2.72 so my £10 place bet’s winnings covered the win stake and gave me profit as well.

    So many different way to try things!

    Thanks

    Rob

  • Rob Reid

    Reply Reply 21st January 2015

    Hi

    Cheers for getting back to me but what I don’t get is the randomness in the meetings that are picked for the accumulator e.g

    Trebles (non consecutive numbers)

    Races; 1,3&5, 1,3&6, 1,4&6 and 2,4&6

    What does that have to do with the system as there is no explaination how the randomness helps.

    I am always trying new systems out but I always want to know “why” before throwing money away.

    For example at the moment I am trying accumulators out but with tiny stakes e.g £2 and picking my 3 best horses of the day and sometimes doing two doubles at higher stakes e.g £3/4 and one triple at £2. Today a set of 2 doubles earned me £40. The Triple didn’t come in but that was a loss of £2 from a profkt OF £40.

    It may only be small stakes but then I don’t lose a lot and when a terj

    • Simon Patton

      Reply Reply 21st January 2015

      Hi Rob,

      The selections and meetings are chosen by yourself (no randomness). The double, trebles and fourfold are how you bet your selections, it is a way of involving six selections in a smaller number of bets than a full perm but involving them all in at least one double.

      Just list your 6 selections for the days racing, then make your two strongest selections number 1&6, the second strongest pair 3&4 and the final two 2&5 and then bet them in accordance with the doubles, trebles and fourfold combinations in the blog.

      Thanks Simon

  • Rob Reid

    Reply Reply 21st January 2015

    Hi

    Do you have any stats to back this up e.g have you gone back over races and seen if it would have brought any money in.

    Also as he talks about the biggest meeting of the day (prize money) what about Saturdays when the prize cash is usually the biggest. Does that have an edge e.g leaving this kind of accumulator to the weekend only.

    Thanks

    Rob

    • Simon Patton

      Reply Reply 21st January 2015

      Hi Rob,

      It is a betting not a selection strategy so the results are purely dependent on the selections that you personally make and therefore there cannot be any back history of stats. The original recommendation was to use the biggest meeting of the day and therefore does not differentiate on the day of the week but I would suggest using your top selections for the day.

      Thanks Simon

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